Stoping mining in Turów will not lead to a blackout

Analysis by Paweł Czyżak explaining what the consequences of stoping extraction at Turów mine and generation and Turów power plant would be for the Polish power system.

“Despite the bold claims by PGE and government officials, Turów’s role in the Polish power mix is minor. Turów produced 3.3% of the country’s electricity in 2020. Production in the power plant decreased by 28% in the last 5 years and the plant runs at only 40% utilization. Turów emitted 5.5 millon tons of CO2 in 2019, with the emissivity of 890-1016 kgCO2/MWh depending on unit.” notices Czyżak

The decision by @EUCourtPress to halt mining in Turów will likely mean closing the power plant. Despite what PGE and the govt are claiming, this will not lead to a blackout. Turów generates only 3% of Polish electricity and runs at 40% utilization (1/4)⏬https://t.co/EBLBekzmP5 pic.twitter.com/1FmsbuXGGn

— Paweł Czyżak (@paczyzak) May 23, 2021

(3/4) Turów itself has limited impact on electricity prices. If ETS reaches 60 EUR/t, Turów will no longer be the cheapest plant in Poland. Even the newly opened unit might struggle to generate operating profits despite capacity market covering fixed costs. pic.twitter.com/DjXjCksOFx

— Paweł Czyżak (@paczyzak) May 23, 2021

(4/4) Decisions around Turów show incompetence - mining permit prolonged during CJEU's proceedings, no just transition plan, new unit opened with declining economics, just a year before moving Turów to NABE ➡️ CAPEX debt will be covered by taxpayers. This is #OstrolekaC again 🤯

— Paweł Czyżak (@paczyzak) May 23, 2021

Source:  http://czyzak.net/polish-power-system-without-turow/